May 2, 2016 Louisville, KY. (Analyzed Sports)
Kentucky Derby 142 2016: 5 Horses to hit the money board
It’s Derby Week! The 142nd Kentucky Derby is just days away, so that means everyone is scrambling trying to figure out which horse to put some money on.
The Kentucky Derby will have a full field of 20 horses again, but only a few have a chance to win the greatest 2 minutes in sports let alone hit the money board. This prestige’s race is the most challenging of the Triple Crown leg, as it’s hard to maneuver in a crowd of 20 horses while trying to get the distance of a mile and a quarter for the first time.
Although I don’t see an American Pharoah in this bunch, there are still some talented Colts that will go off at some decent prices come Derby Day.
Here are the five horses I like to hit the money board. (Money Board = 1st, 2nd, 3rd, or 4th)
- Nyquist – This Colt will be your morning line favorite. He’s currently undefeated at 7-0 and was impressive winning going away in the Florida Derby. Nyquist is trained by Doug F. O’Neill. Don’t look too much into the workouts, as O’Neill believes in slower workouts to have more horse for the Derby. Nyquist drifts a little while he runs, which could exert more energy in a crowded field, but look for him to Win, Place, or Show.
- Danzing Candy – This Colt is crazy athletic. I do not think Danzing Candy can win this race, because he’s crazy, but I do expect him to place in the money. It will be hard because he’s going to jump out in front and try to go wire to wire. Going wire to wire is very hard to do in a mile and a quarter, so I believe he could push the pace, but fade late for a 3rd or 4th place finish which is still in the money. Plus he has the experienced Mike E. Smith as his jockey winner of the 2005 Kentucky Derby with long shot Giacomo.
- Mohaymen – When the Colts bloodline includes Secretariat and Seattle Slew two triple crown winners, then you must include this horse in your exotic bets. Mohaymen was a winner of 5 straight until he had a bad two minutes in the Florida Derby where he finished fourth. Mohaymen and potential Ky Derby favorite Nyquist met at the top of the stretch in the Florida Derby, but Mohaymen quit running for some reason and Nyquist won going away. Toss that race out, because I believe the beautiful gray horse will challenge for the 142nd Kentucky Derby crown.
- Mor Spirit – This Colt is trained by Bob Baffert who is one of the all-time greats and the trainer of the 2015 Triple Crown Winner American Pharoah. I would say he’s worth consideration. Out of seven races the worst Mor Spirit has finished is 2nd. He was beat by Exaggerator in the Mud, but the forecast calls for no rain, so I like this Super Closer in the stretch run when the other horses are fading down the stretch. The legendary Gary Stevens will be aboard Mor Spirit.
- Brody’s Cause – Trained by Dale L. Roman, this Kentucky bred Colt likes the local track surfaces. He’s placed in the money every time at either Keeneland or Churchill Downs. He must get the right post position and break on Derby Day. He’s a closer that must receive the right type of race in order to finish in the money. Since the pace will be fast set by Danzing Candy, I can see a strong closer like Brody’s Cause finishing in the money.
Honorable Mention –
- Gun Runner
- Tom’s Ready